TQQQ FTLT + -bk-I 8/13 200d LETF MA Risk On/Off
Today’s Change (Feb 8, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, trend-following plan: use TQQQ and other leveraged stock funds when markets trend up, but quickly dial down or hedge with cash, gold, the US dollar, Treasuries, or inverse Nasdaq funds when signals turn overbought, choppy, or bearish.
Core idea: ride strong uptrends with leverage, cut or hedge when they fade.
- Trend check: above the 200‑day line and short-term momentum up → “risk on.”
- RSI (0–100): <30 = washed out (buy dips); >80 = too hot (hedge).
- In risk-on, favor TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), UPRO/SPXL (3x S&P), TECL/SOXL (3x tech/semis).
- In risk-off/sideways/crash, reduce or flip to PSQ/QID/SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq), park in BIL/SHY (T‑bills), or use GLD (gold), USDU/UUP (strong dollar), and Treasuries: TMF/UBT (long rates falling) or TBT/TMV (short when rates rising).
A rules-based leveraged trend strategy that captures big upside in rising markets with hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return ≈46% vs S&P ≈20%, with solid risk-adjusted metrics but larger drawdowns. A compelling growth engine for diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 | 0.8 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161.95% | 15.7% | -0.17% | 3.34% | 0.83 | |
| 479,213.18% | 260.91% | -4.49% | -2.41% | 2.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,931,317.59Regulatory Fees
$45,613.33
Total Slippage
$319,998.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 14, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, risk on/off, momentum, crash protection, volatility hedge, bonds/rates, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 96 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ANGL
VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BKLN
Invesco Senior Loan ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
DIA
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks