TQQQ For The Long Term V4 | No Better QQQ/SingleStocks | Pietros Maneos | 10 YR Annualized Return 269.4 | 6.44 Calmar Ratio |
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based rotation: own leveraged tech/S&P funds in uptrends, but flip to inverse, volatility, or bonds when prices look overheated or weak. Uses a 200‑day trend filter, RSI extremes, and short‑term drop/bounce triggers.
Core idea: ride big tech in uptrends, hedge or go defensive in stress, using simple signals.
Regime: if SPY above its 200‑day average → offense; else defense.
Offense: usually TQQQ/TECL/UPRO; buys TQQQ after sharp drops; if overheated or hard bounces, switch to SQQQ or UVXY.
Defense: rotate among UVXY, SQQQ, or BSV; may buy TECL/SPXL on extreme oversold.
RSI (0–100) gauges recent gains vs losses: <30=oversold, >80=overheated. TQQQ/TECL/UPRO/SPXL=3x long; SQQQ=3x inverse; UVXY=volatility; BSV=bonds.
Out-of-sample edge: about 63% annualized return vs about 23% for the S&P 500, from regime-driven rotation into leveraged tech/S&P with hedges. Sharpe ~1.13; Calmar ~1.32. Higher upside but larger drawdowns (~48% vs ~19%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 15, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etf rotation, nasdaq-100 focus, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedge, inverse hedging, tactical allocation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks