TQQQ For The Long Term V2 (226.7% RR/46.1% Max DD) + The Holy Grail
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A long-term, rule-based levered-ETF strategy that primarily bets on TQQQ but uses a risk-controlled framework. It combines a volatility signal (UVXY) and a trend/momentum screen to switch to hedges or cash when risk is high, and a separate “Holy Grail” engine that dynamically selects the single best 3x ETF to own when conditions look favorable. No periodic rebalancing; decisions are trigger-driven to balance upside potential with drawdown risk.
Plain-language description of how it operates:
- The strategy monitors a small family of levered ETFs that aim to magnify daily moves in broad or tech-specific indices (for example, 3x ETFs like TQQQ for the Nasdaq-100, TECL for technology, SOXL for semiconductors, SPXL for the S&P 500) plus volatility and hedging instruments (UVXY and SQQQ) and a bond ETF (BSV) for ballast.
- It does not rebalance on a fixed schedule. Instead, it uses a set of triggers to decide when to be fully invested in one instrument, partially invested, or in cash (or hedges).
- A core risk guardrail is the UVXY (volatility) signal. If volatility is running hot (a momentum indicator on UVXY hits a high threshold), the rules tilt toward cash or hedges rather than piling into levered longs.
- There is a separate engine called “The Holy Grail” that only runs when market conditions look favorable. This engine scans several 3x ETFs and ranks them by short-term momentum and trend signals. The top-ranked asset is then owned in full (in most cases 100% of the exposure to that single instrument).
- The key trend condition uses a long-term price trend test: it checks whether the chosen asset is above its 200-day moving average (roughly meaning price is above a long-term trend). If this condition is met, and other momentum/volatility checks align, the system allocates to the top asset from the Holy Grail pool.
- If the trend or momentum checks fail, the strategy typically goes into cash or hedges (UVXY, SQQQ, and a short-term bond ETF) to reduce risk, rather than remaining fully invested in high-variance levered bets.
- The overall aim is to exploit the upside of levered ETFs during favorable market regimes while limiting losses during downturns with volatility signals and hedging; the “no rebalance” rule means this is not a frequent-tweak system but a trigger-driven one.
- The specific indicators used include short-term momentum (a 10-day lookback through a momentum measure like RSI), price versus a 200-day average (trend confirmation), and a top-ranking mechanism among multiple levered ETFs to pick the single best instrument at any given time.
Designed to beat the S&P with stronger risk-adjusted upside. OOS annualized return ~69% vs ~17% (SPY); oos Sharpe ~1.15 vs ~0.98. Uses volatility hedges and a dynamic top-3x ETF picker to ride uptrends while pruning risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 1.32 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 499,236,227.38% | 192.35% | -20.57% | -22.14% | 1.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$49,923,632,737.77Regulatory Fees
$46,453,829.04
Total Slippage
$334,149,002.63
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equities, momentum, trend-following, volatility hedging, rule-based selection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks