TQQQ For The Long Term V2 (226.7% RR/46.1% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, momentum-driven mix of 3x leveraged equity funds and hedges (UVXY/SQQQ) guided by short-term RSI and a SPY price-vs-200-day check, with equal-weight allocation among signals. High risk due to leverage and rapid rotations.
- Purpose: capture short-term momentum in aggressively leveraged ETFs while using hedges during risk-off periods. It also uses a market-state check (SPY relative to its 200-day moving average) to avoid outright exposure when the market trend looks weak.
- Signals used: short-term momentum indicators (RSI over a 10-day window) on various assets, plus a price check against a long-term average to gauge whether the market is in a bullish phase.
- Asset set: includes 3x leveraged equity ETFs (TQQQ, SPXL, TECL), an inverse/volatility ETF (SQQQ and UVXY), and a bond ETF (BSV) for ballast. SPY is used as a reference for the long-term trend.
- How decisions are made: the strategy starts with an equal-weight cash allocation among the selected signals and then applies a sequence of conditional tests (if/else) to decide which asset to hold. In some branches, the strongest momentum signal (measured by RSI) drives a long position; in other branches, risk-off conditions push allocation toward hedges like UVXY/SQQQ or toward bonds.
- Rebalancing: performed daily, so positions can shift quickly as momentum and market state change.
- Expectation: aim for upside when momentum is favorable while protecting against sharp downturns with hedges, at the cost of higher drawdowns during choppy periods due to leverage.
- Warnings: Leveraged ETFs magnify gains and losses; frequent trading increases costs and risks. This is not a simple buy-and-hold strategy and relies on specific momentum and trend signals. Use with understanding of the risks and suitability to your risk tolerance.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.36, Calmar 1.78, and ~91% annualized return vs SPY’s ~18%. Momentum-driven, leveraged rotation with hedges aims for big upside, but expect larger drawdowns (~51%) in risk-off periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 1.47 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 295,302,592.77% | 181.87% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,530,269,277.46Regulatory Fees
$17,015,653.28
Total Slippage
$122,389,751.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, leveraged etfs, trend-following, daily rebalance, risk hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type