TQQQ For The Long Term V2 (226.7% RR/46.1% Max DD)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rides big-tech uptrends with TQQQ; in downtrends it alternates between bounce plays (TECL/SPXL), fear spikes (UVXY), short tech (SQQQ), or bonds (BSV) using simple “hot/cold” readings and trend lines. One ETF at a time, rebalanced daily.
Daily, it first asks: is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its long‑term trend (200‑day average)?
- If yes: hold TQQQ (triple‑tech) unless things look “too hot” (very high recent gains). When it’s that hot, switch to UVXY (fear/volatility) for a pullback risk.
- If no: in deep selloffs, play short bounces with TECL or SPXL. Otherwise, use a fear gauge (UVXY) and a short‑term trend on TQQQ to pick one of: UVXY, TQQQ, SQQQ (short tech), or BSV (short‑term bonds). One fund at a time.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~1.36 vs SPY 1.09, annualized return ~91% vs ~18% for SPY, Calmar ~1.78, alpha ~0.45. Higher risk-adjusted upside by riding tech rallies with hedges, though max drawdown can be ~51%.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 1.47 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 295,302,592.77% | 181.87% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,530,269,277.46Regulatory Fees
$17,015,653.28
Total Slippage
$122,389,751.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum and mean reversion, volatility timing, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type