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TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - tqqq/200d tqqq, BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily-rebalanced, leverage-aware strategy that uses a 200-day trend test and RSI momentum signals to run TQQQ as the core long-term bet, with BIL as cash and selective hedges (SQQQ, UPRO, SPY, TLT) to reduce drawdowns when momentum or trend weakens.
NutHow it works
What this strategy does, in plain language: - Core exposure: it aims to own TQQQ (a 3x daily bet on tech-heavy Nasdaq) for long-run upside when the market is in an uptrend. - Trend gate: it checks if TQQQ’s price is above its 200-day moving average. If yes, that supports staying invested or adding to the position; if no, it favors reducing risk (shifting toward cash). - Momentum filters: it uses momentum signals (RSI) to see if the move is getting overextended. Very high RSI readings on TQQQ or related checks can push the system toward cash (BIL) or hedges rather than more leverage. - Cash proxy: when risk controls trigger, the portfolio holds cash-like exposure using BIL (short-term Treasuries) instead of more volatile instruments. This avoids large drawdowns while keeping some liquidity for a future return to risk. - Hedging and alternatives: the rules allow moving into hedges or alternatives such as SQQQ (inverse QQQ), UPRO (3x SPY), SPY (plain S&P 500), and treasury ETFs (TLT) based on momentum and relative strength. The goal is to reduce losses during downturns while preserving the option to re-enter leverage when conditions improve. - Rebalance rhythm: the system re-evaluates and adjusts positions every trading day, not infrequently, so the allocation can adapt quickly to shifting market conditions. - Long-run intent: designed for long-term testing, with substitutions (BIL for UVXY, TQQQ for TCEL) to compare how different cash and leverage hybrids behave over time. The asset class remains EQUITIES for reporting and analysis purposes, but the actual mix includes leveraged equity, hedges, and Treasuries as dictated by the rules.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this leveraged Nasdaq strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ~1.54 vs ~1.16) with much higher upside (116% vs 21% annualized) and built-in trend/momentum risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.61.650.240.49
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
631.42%13.92%-2.02%-1.16%0.85
2,774,497.81%95.42%-14.16%-20.56%1.45
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$277,459,780.51
Regulatory Fees
$331,067.48
Total Slippage
$2,370,551.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity strategy, trend-following, risk-managed tactical asset allocation, cash proxy (bil) usage, hedging with sqqq/upro/tlt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 65.03%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 34.29%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.