TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) (JD)
Today’s Change (Jun 23, 2026)
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About
Daily TQQQ strategy using trend (200‑day avg) and “heat” (10‑day RSI). Uptrends: hold TQQQ; if too hot, shift to VOO or UVXY/UVIX. Downtrends: buy oversold bounces (TECL/UPRO) or defend with SQQQ or TLT. Very high risk.
Uses two dials: trend and heat.
- Trend: If SPY is above its 200‑day average (uptrend), hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) unless short‑term “heat” (10‑day RSI) is very high; then shift 0–100% into VOO (S&P 500) or split UVXY/UVIX (leveraged VIX) to hedge a pullback.
- If SPY is below that average, buy oversold bounces with TECL (3x Tech) or UPRO (3x S&P). If not oversold, rotate to the stronger of SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries); otherwise TQQQ. Rebalances daily. RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” score.
Out-of-sample edge: ~92% annualized return with Calmar 4.46 and Sharpe 1.24, vs S&P’s negative return and ~4.5% drawdown. A regime-driven, hedged strategy aimed at higher upside and disciplined risk, but with higher drawdowns in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | 1.49 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.94% | 13.75% | 0.09% | 13.88% | 0.83 | |
| 4,753.81% | 151.68% | 4.81% | 90.21% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$485,381.10Regulatory Fees
$285.14
Total Slippage
$2,321.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 14, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend-following, mean reversion, rsi-based, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedging, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVIX
2x Long VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks