TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, tactical plan: mostly ride big‑tech upswings with 3x TQQQ; when moves look overheated, park in T‑bills (BIL). In downtrends, buy deep dips or switch to what’s stronger short‑term: 3x short tech (SQQQ) or long Treasuries (TLT).
Goal: ride big‑tech uptrends with TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) and step aside when risk is high.
Trend filter: if SPY is above its 200‑day average = bull; else = bear.
• Bull: hold TQQQ unless the move looks “too hot” (10‑day RSI near 80), then sit in BIL (T‑bills).
• Bear: buy sharp dips (low RSI) via TQQQ/UPRO (3x S&P). Otherwise, if tech is weak, hold whichever is stronger lately: SQQQ (3x short tech) or TLT (Treasuries). Daily checks; RSI is a 0‑100 “heat” gauge.
Out-of-sample, this strategy shows higher risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ~1.19 vs ~1.10) and ~74% upside vs ~20% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.46. Regime-driven tech tilt + cash shields; note higher drawdowns in downturns (~51%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | 1.75 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691.05% | 13.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 6,954,760.22% | 101.16% | 1% | -9.32% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$695,486,021.75Regulatory Fees
$516,593.38
Total Slippage
$3,704,111.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 1, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + momentum + mean‑reversion, leveraged etfs, nasdaq‑100 focus, risk‑on/risk‑off, treasuries, cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total