TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - BIL instead of UVXY
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-rebalanced, leveraged-growth strategy that uses a market-trend filter and momentum signals to tilt into 3x ETFs (TQQQ, TECL, UPRO) or into a cash proxy (BIL), with hedges (SQQQ, TLT) as risk controls. Aims for long-term growth while limiting downside using trend, momentum, and cash hedging rather than volatility bets.
What it tries to do in plain language:
1) It asks: is the overall market in an uptrend? It uses the SPY price relative to a long-term average to gauge this. If yes, the plan leans toward stock market growth. If no, it tucks into cash or hedges to protect against downside.
2) It looks at momentum signals (using RSI, a gauge of how strong recent moves have been) on several assets. A high RSI means the asset has been moving up a lot recently; a low RSI means it’s cooled down or moved down. These signals help decide whether to buy more of the up-levered ETFs or to pull back.
3) The main assets are levered growth ETFs (TQQQ for Nasdaq-scale exposure, TECL for tech, UPRO for broad S&P 500). When signals are favorable, the strategy increases exposure to these. When signals weaken or become overextended, it reduces exposure or shifts toward a cash proxy.
4) There are hedges and alternate plays (SQQQ which moves opposite to QQQ, and TLT which is long-dated Treasuries) used in some conditions to cushion losses if the market turns down.
5) The cash-like piece is BIL (short-term U.S. Treasuries). This is used instead of a volatile hedge to keep liquidity and limit downside while maintaining a buffer for reallocation.
6) Rebalancing happens daily, so the positions can change frequently with market conditions. This can amplify gains when trends persist but can also magnify losses in choppy markets. The intent is long-term growth with a risk-management layer, but the leverage and frequent changes mean it’s best suited to investors who understand leveraged products and are comfortable with rapid swings.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims for explosive growth by riding uptrends with 3x ETFs, while using cash/hedges to curb risk. Expect ~42% annualized return vs ~16% for the S&P, with solid risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~0.84), but larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | 1.8 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674.49% | 13.66% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 7,697,854.45% | 102.13% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$769,795,445.39Regulatory Fees
$523,995.75
Total Slippage
$3,757,048.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, trend-following, cash management, risk hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks