TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - BIL instead of UVXY
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based swing among leveraged tech/S&P ETFs, cash-like T‑Bills, inverse Nasdaq, or Treasuries. It rides uptrends with TQQQ, steps aside when overheated, and in downtrends buys deep dips or rotates to SQQQ/TLT. High risk due to 3x ETFs.
Daily check.
1) Trend test: If SPY (S&P 500 ETF) is above its 200‑day average, hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) unless a short‑term “heat gauge” (RSI: 0–100) says TQQQ or SPXL (3x S&P 500) is too hot (>~80); then park in BIL (T‑Bills).
2) If SPY is below the 200‑day: buy deep dips with TECL or UPRO when RSI is very cold (<~30). Otherwise, if TQQQ is weak, pick the stronger of SQQQ (‑3x Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries). If not, switch between SQQQ and TQQQ by RSI.
Out-of-sample: ~42% annualized return vs SPX ~16%, with Calmar ~0.84 and Sharpe ~0.85—strong upside with risk discipline. Note potential ~50% drawdowns and higher volatility from 3x leverage.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 1.8 | 0.28 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722.11% | 14% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.85 | |
| 9,775,489.12% | 104.37% | 27% | 20.56% | 1.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$977,558,911.58Regulatory Fees
$683,136.70
Total Slippage
$4,901,389.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,momentum,trend-following,risk-on/risk-off,tactical allocation,daily rebalance,market timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks