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Symphonies
TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - 50d tqqq/200d tqqq, BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily rules-based switch around TQQQ: ride tech uptrends, step aside to T‑bills when overheated, and in downtrends either buy sharp dips or rotate to short‑Nasdaq or long Treasuries based on short-term strength.
NutHow it works
Rebalanced daily. 1) Trend: if TQQQ’s 50-day average price is above its 200-day, it’s an uptrend; otherwise a downtrend. Moving averages are simple price averages. RSI is a speedometer of recent moves: above ~80 = overheated, below ~30 = washed out. Uptrend: hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100 tech) unless things look overheated (TQQQ RSI>79 or SPY RSI>80); then park in BIL (T‑bills). Downtrend: if TQQQ RSI<31, buy TQQQ; else if SPY RSI<30, buy UPRO (3x S&P 500). If neither: if TQQQ is below its 20-day average, pick the stronger (by RSI) of SQQQ (−3x Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries); otherwise buy SQQQ if it’s oversold, else TQQQ.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this strategy yields ~55.99% annualized return vs ~20.63% for the S&P 500, with Calmar ~0.965 indicating solid risk-adjusted upside. It uses regime switching to ride tech rallies but can endure large drawdowns (~58%).

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,momentum,mean reversion,tactical allocation,leveraged etfs,nasdaq-100,s&p 500,treasuries,cash/t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 55.99%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 58.04%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.