TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) - 50d tqqq/200d tqqq, BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rides tech uptrends with TQQQ, steps to cash when overheated, and in downtrends either buys big dips or shifts to a hedge (SQQQ) or Treasuries (TLT). Uses simple trend (moving averages) and short-term “heat” (RSI) signals. High risk due to 3x ETFs.
Daily check of tech’s trend using TQQQ’s 50-day vs 200-day average. If uptrend: own TQQQ unless very “hot” short term, then sit in BIL (cash-like). If downtrend: try buying sharp dips (TQQQ or UPRO). If no dip, hold either SQQQ (betting against tech) or TLT (Treasuries) based on which is stronger.
RSI = a 0–100 “heat” score; high=hot, low=washed-out.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~60% annualized returns vs ~21% for the S&P by riding tech uptrends with tactical hedges. It offers big upside with disciplined risk controls—though expect higher drawdowns and volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 2.28 | 0.43 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633.34% | 13.93% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 122,180.03% | 59.27% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,228,003.14Regulatory Fees
$13,150.27
Total Slippage
$88,722.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100, s&p 500, treasuries, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total