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TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) -50d spy/200d spy, BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily, rules-based switching among TQQQ, BIL, UPRO, SQQQ, or TLT. It rides long uptrends in tech, steps aside when overheated, and during downtrends either buys sharp dips or rotates to defensive assets (inverse tech or Treasuries).
NutHow it works
Daily rules: • If SPY 50d avg > 200d (uptrend), hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If short‑term is “too hot” (RSI: TQQQ>79 or SPY>80; RSI = hot/cold meter), hold BIL (T‑Bills). • Else (downtrend), buy dips: TQQQ if its RSI<31; else UPRO (3x S&P) if SPY RSI<30. If no dip: if TQQQ < 20d avg, own the stronger of SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (Treasuries); else SQQQ if unusually weak, otherwise TQQQ.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample: ~32.7% annual return vs ~20.7% for S&P, driven by tech leadership and 3x ETFs with hedges (cash, inverse Nasdaq, Treasuries). Seeks bigger upside with risk controls—bear markets can bring larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.272.390.480.7
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
720.47%13.98%9.27%4.88%0.85
129,231.93%56.14%31.23%11.44%1.05
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,933,192.51
Regulatory Fees
$13,022.35
Total Slippage
$87,306.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,momentum,tactical asset allocation,leveraged etfs,market timing,risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 27.56%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 58.54%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.