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TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) -50d spy/200d spy, BIL instead of UVXY and TQQQ intsead of TCEL for longterm backtest compare
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily, rules-based switching: ride tech in uptrends with TQQQ, step aside to BIL when overheated, and in downtrends buy washed‑out dips (TQQQ/UPRO) or play defense with SQQQ or TLT. Uses a 50/200‑day trend filter and a 10‑day RSI heat gauge.
NutHow it works
Each day it checks if the S&P 500 is in an uptrend (50‑day average above 200‑day = healthy trend). If yes, it holds TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) unless prices look overheated (10‑day RSI = 0–100 speed/heat score; >~80), then it parks in BIL (T‑bills). If no, it buys sharp dips (RSI < ~30) in TQQQ or UPRO; otherwise shifts to defense: SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries), chosen by short‑term strength.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~34.8% annualized return vs SPY's ~21.4%, with dynamic tech exposure and hedges. Sharpe ~0.78 vs ~1.15 for SPY; drawdown ~58.5% signals higher risk; suitable for investors with high growth tolerance.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, rsi timing, tech-heavy (nasdaq-100), us large-cap, treasuries, cash-like t-bills, tactical rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 34.78%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 58.54%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.