TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rides tech’s uptrend with TQQQ when the market is healthy, buys big dips, and flips to crash hedges (SQQQ, UVXY) or Treasuries (TLT) when prices look too hot or volatility spikes. Daily rules aim to capture gains while cutting deep drawdowns.
Each day it checks trend and “heat.” If SPY is above its 200-day average, it mostly holds TQQQ (3x Nasdaq-100). After sharp drops it buys TQQQ only if deeply washed-out; otherwise it hedges with SQQQ (3x inverse). When things look too hot or jumpy, it shifts to UVXY (volatility) or TLT (Treasuries). If SPY is below the 200-day, it mostly stays in those hedges, touching TQQQ only on big dips or brief strength. RSI = gauge of how stretched moves are.
Out-of-sample, this strategy captures tech-led upside with adaptive hedges, delivering ~80% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, Sharpe ~1.29, Calmar ~1.58. Higher upside with strong risk-adjusted performance, though drawdowns can be larger in bear markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 1.04 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.2% | 14.76% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 566,837,477.8% | 195.74% | 1% | -9.32% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$56,683,757,779.63Regulatory Fees
$37,549,981.05
Total Slippage
$270,099,658.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following (200-day ma), mean reversion, volatility hedge, nasdaq-100 focus, tactical allocation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type