TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Rides the long‑term Nasdaq uptrend with TQQQ, but when markets get overheated, fall sharply, or turn bearish, it flips defensively into SQQQ (short Nasdaq), UVXY (volatility), or TLT (Treasuries). Daily, rules‑based, with strict overbought/oversold gates.
First check trend: is the broad market (SPY) above its 200‑day average? If yes, default to TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). If things look too hot (very high short‑term “heat”/RSI), switch to UVXY (volatility) or SQQQ (short). On sharp Nasdaq dips, buy TQQQ only if truly washed out; otherwise briefly use SQQQ. If volatility is high, hide in TLT (Treasuries). If SPY is below trend, rotate among SQQQ, TLT, UVXY, and only buy TQQQ at extreme oversold points.
Out-of-sample: ~80% annualized return with ~50% max drawdown; Sharpe ~1.29, Calmar ~1.58 vs S&P ~1.24. A tactical Nasdaq-100 strategy with hedges aims for stronger upside and disciplined risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 1.04 | 0.08 | 0.28 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 543,153,456.44% | 194.07% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 2.01 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$54,315,355,643.99Regulatory Fees
$37,549,981.05
Total Slippage
$270,099,658.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedging, tactical allocation, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total