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TQQQ For The Long Term Minimal | Dereck Nielsen, Pietros Maneos & Raekon v1.4 | 258.9%/42.2%DD from 28 Oct 2011
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily-rebalanced, Nasdaq-leaning strategy using TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) with hedges (SQQQ, UVXY) and safe assets (TLT, SPXL) to pursue long-run growth while aiming to limit big drawdowns. Uses momentum checks and price health signals to rotate.
NutHow it works
What this strategy does, in plain language: - It mainly uses TQQQ, a 3x Nasdaq bet, as the growth engine. On some days it may tilt toward other assets (like SPXL for more broad US stocks, or cash) to manage risk. - It checks momentum and health signals daily. A key signal is a short-term momentum measure (think of it as a momentum meter) on TQQQ. If that meter gets very high (meaning the price has surged recently and may be ripe for a pullback), the system starts hedging or rotating out of Nasdaq exposure. - It uses other signals from related assets (QQQ, SPY, SPXL, SQQQ, UVXY, TLT) to decide whether the Nasdaq should stay the lead or whether hedges/bonds should take over. For example, if Nasdaq looks expensive and volatility is rising, it may move into hedges like SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq) or UVXY (volatility) or into bonds (TLT). - The plan rebalances every day, keeping the number of assets and trades relatively small, with the goal of long-run growth while trying to avoid big losses. - It’s important to know leveraged ETFs magnify both gains and losses and can behave very differently from plain stock investments; this strategy tries to use that leverage carefully rather than letting it run unchecked.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~80% annualized return vs SPY ~23%; oos Sharpe ~1.29 and Calmar ~1.58. Nasdaq-led growth with hedges targets higher long-run gains with risk control—beware sizable drawdowns in stressed markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
1.111.040.080.28
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
603.28%14.54%-2.02%-1.16%0.89
535,258,782.65%193.86%-1.84%-9.17%2.01
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$53,525,888,265.45
Regulatory Fees
$37,549,981.05
Total Slippage
$270,099,658.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, nasdaq exposure, risk management, multi-asset rotation, u.s. equities, hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 67.17%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 50.76%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.