TQQQ For the Long Term Basket
Today’s Change (Jul 23, 2026)
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About
A daily‑rebalanced basket that rides Nasdaq‑100 uptrends with TQQQ, shifts to Treasuries or inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) in weak markets, and briefly buys “fear” (UVXY) when things look overheated. Uses a 200‑day trend filter and short‑term heat (RSI) signals.
Goal: ride big‑tech uptrends with TQQQ, cut damage in selloffs.
Trend check: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day line, play offense; otherwise, play defense.
RSI = a short‑term “heat” gauge (high=hot, low=cold).
Offense: hold TQQQ/TECL; if heat is extreme, briefly buy UVXY (“fear”).
Defense: use SQQQ (goes up when Nasdaq falls) or Treasuries (TLT/TMF/SHY/BIL). Sharp weekly drops trigger buy‑the‑dip or short, then back to TQQQ. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~61.5% vs SPY ~21.1%; Sharpe ~1.24, Calmar ~1.33. Hedge-driven Nasdaq uptrends aim for big upside with risk controls across drawdowns—though stress periods can still produce larger losses than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 1.14 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 583.07% | 14.4% | 0.41% | 5.36% | 0.89 | |
| 44,807,374.18% | 148.78% | -3.46% | -1.29% | 2.07 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,480,747,418.31Regulatory Fees
$6,459,861.97
Total Slippage
$62,232,047.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, tech/nasdaq focus, tactical allocation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks