TQQQ For the Long Term Basket
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A daily‑rebalanced basket that rides Nasdaq‑100 uptrends with TQQQ, shifts to Treasuries or inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) in weak markets, and briefly buys “fear” (UVXY) when things look overheated. Uses a 200‑day trend filter and short‑term heat (RSI) signals.
Goal: ride big‑tech uptrends with TQQQ, cut damage in selloffs.
Trend check: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day line, play offense; otherwise, play defense.
RSI = a short‑term “heat” gauge (high=hot, low=cold).
Offense: hold TQQQ/TECL; if heat is extreme, briefly buy UVXY (“fear”).
Defense: use SQQQ (goes up when Nasdaq falls) or Treasuries (TLT/TMF/SHY/BIL). Sharp weekly drops trigger buy‑the‑dip or short, then back to TQQQ. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets tech-led upside (~59% annualized) vs SPY (~21%), with Calmar ~1.28. Expect higher drawdowns in stress markets, but hedges seek to protect and rebound faster than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | 1.14 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 599.8% | 14.5% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.9 | |
| 44,040,023.54% | 147.11% | -2.28% | -8.15% | 2.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,404,012,354.17Regulatory Fees
$6,853,265.63
Total Slippage
$66,034,417.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, tech/nasdaq focus, tactical allocation, daily rebalance