TQQQ Daily 60d Bond Trend, 2d Bond Trend, Drawdown, Vix
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, regime-driven, multi-asset strategy that leverages tech when markets cooperate and hedges with bonds, cash, gold, and currency when volatility or rising rates threaten risk.
The system runs every trading day. It starts with a cash baseline and then decides what mix of assets to hold based on several regime signals. Key regime checks include:
- Are rates likely to rise? The model looks at 60-day momentum of bond proxies and a short-term price comparison to judge whether rates are trending up or not.
- Has QQQ (tech) been weak recently? Recent performance helps decide risk posture.
- Is volatility high or low? A volatility signal helps tilt toward defensives (bonds, gold, dollar, and a volatility hedge) or toward riskier tech exposure.
- Drawdown checks on QQQ and other inputs help avoid big losses.
If conditions indicate rates not rising and tech is in an uptrend with manageable volatility, the system tilts toward higher exposure to TQQQ (the leveraged tech ETF) to amplify returns. If rates are rising or volatility spikes, it shifts toward a defensive mix: Treasuries (IEF, TMF), short-term cash (BIL), gold (GLD), dollar (UUP), and sometimes a volatility hedge proxy (SVXY) to reduce risk. The strategy uses a daily rebalance to adjust weights, with a baseline of cash equalization that can be replaced by the chosen assets. In short: it tries to ride tech strength when the environment looks favorable, but hedges into bonds, currency, and gold when risk signals worsen. The design notes theLevered ETFs (TQQQ, TMF) are powerful but risky and are used under strict rule-based conditions.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.08 vs 0.81 for S&P; annualized return ~44% vs ~14%; alpha present. Regime-driven hedges (bonds, cash, gold) target protection in risk spikes. Higher upside with disciplined risk control.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.59 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620.16% | 14.7% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.9 | |
| 53,942.16% | 54.83% | 1.91% | 1.75% | 1.23 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,404,215.66Regulatory Fees
$22,767.25
Total Slippage
$143,902.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Levered equity, trend-following, risk-off hedge, multi-asset, volatility-aware
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks