TQQQ Daily 60d Bond Trend, 2d Bond Trend, Drawdown, Vix
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A daily strategy that mostly swings hard into leveraged big-tech when interest-rate conditions look friendly, but shifts toward bonds, gold, and the U.S. dollar when rates or market stress look dangerous.
This strategy is mainly a bet on big tech stocks through TQQQ, a fund that tries to move about 3 times as much as the Nasdaq-100 each day.
First, it checks whether the bond market suggests interest rates are rising. If rates look calm, it usually holds TQQQ. If tech stocks recently fell hard and market fear is rising, it temporarily hides in long-term Treasury bonds (TMF).
If rates look like they are rising, it becomes more defensive, shifting part or all of the portfolio into a mix of Treasuries, gold, and the U.S. dollar.
Out-of-sample, this regime-switching strategy aims for roughly 38% annualized return with a higher risk-adjusted Sharpe (~1.00) vs SPY (~0.86), offering substantially stronger upside than the S&P 500—with larger drawdowns in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 1.59 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 738.67% | 15.24% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.94 | |
| 55,303.22% | 52.39% | -7.85% | -5.57% | 1.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,540,322.10Regulatory Fees
$21,367.28
Total Slippage
$169,989.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, nasdaq-100, rate-regime, tactical asset allocation, risk-managed, macro, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks