TQQQ Daily 60d Bond Trend, 2d Bond Trend, Drawdown, Vix
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressively hold TQQQ when tech is steady and rates aren’t rising; switch to TMF on sharp, high‑vol selloffs. If rates are rising, blend TQQQ with steadier havens (Treasuries, dollar, gold) using volatility‑based sizing. Rebalanced daily.
Daily checks:
1) 60‑day trend: if BND (bonds) ≥ BIL (T‑bills) → rates stable; else → rates rising.
2a) Stable: if QQQ 10‑day drop ≤5% → hold TQQQ (3x QQQ). If >5% and vol jumped (SVXY 5‑day down) → hold TMF (3x long Treas.); else TQQQ.
2b) Rising: if BND 2‑day ≥0 → 55% TQQQ + 45% a safe‑haven mix (IEF 7‑10y Treas., UUP $USD, GLD gold, TMF) sized by 45‑day volatility; else hold only that mix. Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.08 vs S&P 0.81; OOS annualized return ~44% vs ~13.7%. This strategy captures tech strength with rate-sensitive hedges, delivering higher risk-adjusted gains—though drawdowns can be larger than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.59 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.49% | 14.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 55,021.87% | 55.2% | 0.35% | -0.33% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,512,186.66Regulatory Fees
$22,528.97
Total Slippage
$142,310.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, leveraged etfs, volatility filter, rates regime, nasdaq-100, treasuries, gold, dollar, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks