TQQQ + Crash Commods
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-sleeve, rules-based strategy: in downtrends it tilts to commodities/defensive sectors; otherwise it tactically buys Nasdaq dips or hedges. It rapidly switches among TQQQ, SQQQ, UVXY, and TLT using “hot vs. oversold,” volatility, and trend signals.
Two equal parts.
1) If the S&P 500 (SPY) is below its 200‑day average, buy 2 of PDBC (commodities), XLV (health care), XLP (staples)—the two that lagged ~1 month. If above, use a “buy‑the‑dip Nasdaq” playbook that switches among TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), SQQQ (3x inverse), or TLT (long Treasuries) based on short‑term moves.
2) The other half rotates among TQQQ/SQQQ/UVXY (VIX “fear” ETF)/TLT using RSI (0–100 speedometer), 1–5 day drops, volatility, and the 20‑day trend.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~84% vs ~23% for SPY; Sharpe ~1.52 vs ~1.44; Calmar ~1.95. Dynamic hedges + Nasdaq-dip plays offer stronger risk-adjusted growth than the S&P 500, with larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 1.31 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299.47% | 13.01% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 74,987.63% | 79.43% | -0.39% | -2.36% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,508,762.64Regulatory Fees
$7,428.76
Total Slippage
$48,862.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend filter, mean reversion, volatility hedging, defensive rotation, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks