Tortoise and the Hare (outrun SPY) w/Divs
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A contrarian sector-rotation approach: each quarter, buy the two S&P 500 sectors that dropped the most over the past month, hold them equally for 3 months while collecting dividends, then repeat—aiming to beat SPY over time.
Every quarter, it checks how each S&P 500 sector fund did over the last ~20 trading days. It picks the two sectors that fell the most, splits the money 50/50 between them, and holds for 3 months (collecting dividends). Next quarter it repeats and rotates into the new two biggest recent laggards.
Contrarian sector-rotation: every quarter, buy laggards. Out-of-sample return 17.38% vs SPY 17.08%; drawdown 14.78% vs 18.76%; beta ~0.88; Calmar ~1.18. Dividend-inclusive, with aim to beat the S&P with less downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.91 | 0.64 | 0.8 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173.88% | 14.16% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.78 | |
| 326.22% | 21% | 3.26% | 6.28% | 0.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$42,622.48Regulatory Fees
$17.95
Total Slippage
$112.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities, sector rotation, contrarian, mean reversion, quarterly rebalance, dividend etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
XLB
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLF
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLI
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLRE
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks