Tortoise and the Hare (outrun SPY) w/Divs
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A simple contrarian sector strategy: every quarter, it buys the 2 worst-performing U.S. stock sectors from the past month, equally weighted, hoping those laggards rebound.
Every 3 months, the strategy looks at 11 major U.S. stock market sectors and asks: which 2 did the worst over the last 20 trading days (about 1 month)? It then splits the money equally between those 2 sectors and holds them until the next quarterly check.
In plain English: it buys the recent losers, betting they may bounce back.
Out-of-sample edge: 22.6% annual return vs SPY’s 16.7%, max drawdown 14.8% vs 18.8%, Sharpe 1.24 vs 1.01, Calmar ~1.53, and lower volatility. A simple quarterly sector mean-reversion strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 0.9 | 0.63 | 0.79 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211.45% | 14.78% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.82 | |
| 415.36% | 22.01% | 6.22% | 14.33% | 1.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,535.60Regulatory Fees
$17.78
Total Slippage
$139.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, mean reversion, u.s. equities, contrarian, quarterly rebalance, dividend-oriented
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
XLB
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLC
State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLF
State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLI
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLRE
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLU
State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks