Top Market Cap Stocks as a Hedge (81.7% RR, 15.8% MD, 23.2% SD, 2014 BT)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Adaptive hedge using a core mega-cap stock basket with volatility and bond hedges, rebalanced daily to manage risk while aiming to capture upside of large-cap leaders.
- Core idea: own a basket of familiar, large U.S. companies (top market-cap names) and balance risk with hedges that can reduce losses in bad markets.
- What RSI is (in simple terms): RSI is a momentum gauge that helps decide if something has recently risen too fast (might fall) or not enough (might rise). Values near 80 suggest caution; values near 30 suggest potential upside. The strategy uses RSI signals to decide when to lean into hedges.
- How hedges work at a high level:
1) Inverse-vol hedging on the big-cap group: the system looks at how volatile these stocks have been over the last 10 days and tilts exposure so that higher volatility reduces long exposure (acts like a shock absorber).
2) Volatility hedge layer: it may shift into volatility-related funds (like UVXY, SVXY) and levered tech/sector ETFs (SOXL, SPXL, TQQQ, TECL) when momentum signals indicate risk is rising. The exact path is a sequence of checks; if one condition is met, the algorithm takes action and may skip other checks.
3) SVXY/4TLT style hedges: another hedge path that combines volatility instruments with leveraged equity ETFs, chosen based on short-term momentum signals.
4) Bond ballast: when risk is judged high, a separate sleeve can tilt toward bonds (TMF, TMV, SHV, TLT, BND) to dampen overall risk and provide income stability.
- Rebalance cadence: every trading day, the system re-evaluates and adjusts weights across all blocks so the portfolio stays aligned with the target risk profile.
- What you end up owning in plain terms: a mix of familiar large-cap stocks plus optional hedging positions (volatility assets and leveraged ETFs) and bonds to keep things smoother if markets get choppy.
- Why these tickers: the core stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOG, AMZN, META, etc.) are big, liquid names many investors recognize. The hedge assets (UVXY, SVXY, SOXL, SPXL, TQQQ, TECL) are common vehicles used to capture volatility or amplified market moves; bond ETFs (TMF, TMV, SHV, TLT, BND) provide ballast when stocks stumble. The exact mix and timing come from the strategy’s rules, not a fixed allocation.
- Practical takeaway for a layperson: this is an adaptive hedging approach built around familiar mega-cap stocks, with additional layers to protect against volatility and drawdowns, plus a bond sleeve for stability. It’s more complex than a simple buy-and-hold approach and relies on daily adjustments to respond to changing market conditions.
Adaptive mega-cap hedge with daily risk controls and volatility/bond hedges. Out-of-sample: ~9.6% return, 6.3% max drawdown, Calmar 1.52, Sharpe 0.77. A more resilient, risk-managed alternative to S&P leadership bets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.6 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347.7% | 13.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 87,400.31% | 76.62% | -2.51% | 4.71% | 2.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,750,030.88Regulatory Fees
$16,708.60
Total Slippage
$110,395.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, large-cap, hedge, volatility overlay, bond overlay, daily rebalance, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GOOG
Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock
Stocks
HD
Home Depot, Inc.
Stocks