TMF Momentum
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk switching strategy that moves between leveraged long-term bonds, leveraged tech, a volatility fund, and short-term Treasuries based on whether stocks look overheated, bonds look strong, or tech looks washed out.
This strategy always puts 100% of the money into just one holding.
It first checks if US stocks look overheated. If big tech (QQQ) or the broad market (SPY) has risen too fast recently, it buys VIXY, which tends to rise when market fear jumps.
If not, it checks whether long-term Treasury bonds look stronger than cash-like Treasury bills. If they do, it usually buys TMF, a leveraged fund tied to long-term US government bonds, unless conditions look too stretched.
If bonds are not the better setup, it looks for a rebound in tech. When tech has fallen hard recently, it buys TECL, a leveraged technology fund. Otherwise it hides in SHV, a very short-term Treasury fund.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~36% annualized returns vs S&P ~17.6%, with Calmar ~1.53. It switches 100% into leveraged bonds, tech, volatility, or cash to chase big upside—higher drawdowns, but stronger upside potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695.61% | 14.02% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 413,821.47% | 69.37% | 1.14% | -4.75% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$41,392,146.67Regulatory Fees
$106,175.78
Total Slippage
$997,580.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, bonds, technology, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks