TINA (Only meant for bear market)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Bear-market, daily-rebalanced rule set that pivots among PSQ, TQQQ, TECL, and bond ETFs (SHV/BSV/TLT) using QQQ signals, price momentum, and RSI. When signals fire, it goes 100% into the chosen ETF; otherwise it defaults to the top RSI bond. High leverage and frequent switching imply higher risk and potential volatility.
Think of it as a daily decision engine that picks one instrument to own for the day, aiming to profit from or protect against a falling market. The engine checks several signals tied to Nasdaq/tech performance and bond safety:
- If QQQ (a tech-heavy index) has jumped a lot in the last 10 days (more than 5.5%), it goes into PSQ, an inverse ETF that moves opposite QQQ; you’re betting on a pullback.
- If a leveraged long tech bet (TQQQ) has suffered a big drawdown over the last 62 days (down more than 33%), the system moves to SHV (short-term Treasuries) to reduce risk.
- There are momentum and trend checks using short-term and longer-term price averages, plus an oversold/overbought check using RSI on tech leveraged products. If those rules favor it, it may switch to TECL (3x long tech).
- If none of the above triggers, the system chooses the strongest among a small bond group (SHV, BSV, TLT) based on a 20-day RSI ranking and holds that single instrument.
- Weights are 100/100 on the chosen instrument, meaning full exposure to that single ETF for the day. The process repeats every trading day (daily rebalance).
What this means for an investor: the strategy tries to exploit downside moves or protect capital by leaning on inverse or leveraged tech signals when signals align, and otherwise preserves capital with short- or long-duration bond exposure. It avoids staying in cash unless forced by the top-RSI bond selection path. The design is sophisticated and sensitive to short-term timing, so it can be volatile and may underperform in rising markets or during bounce rallies.
Near-SPY annualized return (≈21.5% vs 22.2%), but with a built-in risk-management engine that shifts to bonds or inverse/levered tech on signals. A diversified, rule-based strategy designed to blunt drawdowns in volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.63 | 0.11 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658.13% | 13.66% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 37,764.96% | 45.55% | -2.49% | 8.42% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,786,495.84Regulatory Fees
$19,118.34
Total Slippage
$125,580.93
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market strategy, tactical allocation, inverse etfs, leveraged etfs, bond hedges, rsi/momentum signals, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total