Three-Level Absolute Momentum Trend Filter
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based trend checks. If leadership is strong, it owns Apple, Tesla, Amazon, NVIDIA, and Alphabet (or T‑bills if any are weak), favoring steadier ones. As conditions worsen it shifts to broader or low‑vol stock funds, then to T‑bills plus some gold.
Each day it asks: Is a fund of the 50 biggest U.S. stocks rising (short‑term average price above a long‑term one)?
• If yes: own Apple, Tesla, Amazon, NVIDIA, Alphabet—but only those rising; any weak slot goes to short‑term T‑bills. Steadier picks get more weight.
• If not: step down—first to broad U.S./foreign stock funds, then low‑vol stock funds; if falling, 75% T‑bills/25% gold.
Out-of-sample shows the strategy lags the S&P 500 (-19.4% vs +19.9% annualized) with larger drawdowns (10% vs 4.5%). Only for sophisticated investors seeking diversification or hedging; otherwise, stick with the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,momentum,regime filter,tactical asset allocation,equities,low-vol tilt,risk management,inverse-vol weighting,gold,treasury bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ACWV
iShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EFAV
iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
GBIL
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks