Three-Level Absolute Momentum Trend Filter
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily momentum-based equity strategy: only invest in a small set of rising stocks when broad market trend is up; otherwise shift to cash/hedges, using inverse-volatility weighting and a diversified ETF basket when conditions are favorable.
Every day, the strategy first looks at a volatility-filtered cash/hedge sleeve. It then checks five big-name stocks (AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, NVDA, GOOGL): for each, if its 20-day moving average price is above its 50-day moving average price, that stock is considered to have positive momentum. If the stock fails, the setup defaults to a cash-like option (BIL). Separately, the broad market trend is judged by whether XLG is above its 200-day moving average (i.e., uptrend). If yes, the portfolio shifts into a diversified equity basket (20% each to SPY, QQQ, IWM, EEM, EFA). If not, the strategy leans toward cash/hedges, with optional sub-allocation to GLD (gold) and GBIL (short-term Treasuries) under a 25/75 split. The process uses a 30-day inverse-volatility ranking to influence asset weights, and a few key moving-average crossovers to confirm momentum. This is a rule-based, trend-following approach designed to ride uptrends and reduce risk in downtrends.
Adaptive momentum strategy: rides uptrends, hedges in downturns; aims to outperform the S&P when markets rise while protecting capital. Caution: out-of-sample results show negative returns and larger drawdowns; best as portfolio diversifier.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.55 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266.16% | 14.71% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.85 | |
| 474.14% | 20.29% | -2.17% | -7.8% | 1.18 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$57,413.67Regulatory Fees
$123.93
Total Slippage
$599.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 7, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, absolute momentum, inverse-volatility weighting, equity selection, cash/hedge allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ACWV
iShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EFAV
iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
GBIL
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks