This works, don’t be greedy QQQ (68/22) since 2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based QQQ strategy: buy a 2× Nasdaq fund after sharp drops, hedge with a volatility fund when QQQ runs too hot, and otherwise follow the S&P 500 trend—own QQQ in uptrends, Utilities in choppy periods, and T‑Bills in downtrends.
1) If the Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ) has been unusually hot over ~10 days, switch to a short‑term crash hedge (UVXY).
2) If it has been unusually weak over ~10 days, buy a 2× Nasdaq fund (QLD) for a rebound.
Else use the S&P 500 trend: above its 200‑day average → QQQ if also above 30‑day, otherwise Utilities (XLU). Below 200‑day → Utilities if 30‑day is OK, otherwise T‑Bills (BIL).
Out-of-sample: ~26.8% annualized return, Calmar ~4.79, max drawdown ~5.6%. A rules-based Nasdaq tilt with hedges (UVXY/QLD) that captures upside while limiting downside—risk-aware, Nasdaq-driven alpha vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 138,315.44% | 65.36% | 2.59% | -3.28% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,841,543.54Regulatory Fees
$42,714.20
Total Slippage
$294,989.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion, etf rotation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total