This Is Interesting (60d RSI of SHV)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based tilt into tech (QQQ/XLK) only when SHV shows momentum and the market trend looks favorable, with a cash-first default and specific oversold/trend checks guiding entries.
- The system runs daily and starts with a fully cash position.
- It looks at SHV’s 60-day RSI. If RSI(SHV,60) > 65, it considers taking exposure to tech assets.
- It then checks the market trend: is QQQ now trading above SPY’s 200-day moving average? If yes, the market is considered favorable enough to look for tech entries.
- If the market looks favorable, XLK is considered if its own 10-day RSI is below 30 (meaning XLK has recently pulled back and may rebound). If that condition is met, the strategy buys XLK.
- There are parallel checks that can push exposure into QQQ when the same market backdrop exists and XLK conditions aren’t met, or otherwise stay in cash.
- Rebalance happens every day, so positions can change as signals flip.
- The setup uses a small set of familiar tickers: SHV (bond proxy for the risk-off instrument), SPY (broad market proxy for trend), QQQ (broad tech exposure), XLK (tech sector exposure).
- Overall aim: gain exposure to tech when the market trend is positive and tech has recently pulled back, while keeping a cash cushion when conditions aren’t favorable.
Tech-tilted, cash-first strategy that only enters tech on favorable trends. OOS returns ~24.9% vs S&P ~21.8%, drawdown ~16.4% vs ~18.8%, strong risk-adjusted metrics—upside with disciplined risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 557.19% | 10.47% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.6 | |
| 3,817.35% | 21.41% | 0.33% | 2.48% | 1.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$391,735.29Regulatory Fees
$690.90
Total Slippage
$4,622.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 21, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, rsi-based entry, sector rotation, tech focus, trend following