There Will Be Blood
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based oil and energy strategy: invest aggressively in strong energy names or leveraged oil funds when oil trends are favorable, otherwise move fully into short-term Treasuries.
This strategy is an all-in bet on oil and energy when that area looks strong, and a move to short-term Treasury bonds when it looks weak.
It first checks the overall oil trend using oil funds like DBO. If oil is weak, it parks in SHV, a very conservative short-term Treasury fund.
If oil is strong, it either buys the 2 strongest energy stocks in its list, or makes one aggressive bet on whichever is showing more short-term strength: NRGU (leveraged big oil stocks) or UCO (leveraged crude oil).
Out-of-sample this energy-strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe ~2.01 vs SPY ~1.56; annualized return ~82% vs ~28%; Calmar ~3.24. Expect higher drawdowns (~25%) for outsized upside when energy leads.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | -0.14 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.44% | 27.95% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 1.58 | |
| 151.95% | 81.68% | 16.12% | 35.32% | 2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,194.72Regulatory Fees
$16.36
Total Slippage
$122.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Energy sector, oil trend following, tactical rotation, momentum, leveraged etfs/etns, defensive treasury fallback
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Stocks
NRGU
MicroSectors U.S. Big Oil 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks