There Will Be Blood
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tactical energy strategy: when crude is trending up, buy the strongest plays—either high-octane NRGU/UCO or the top 2 energy stocks/ETF. When the trend is weak, park in SHV (short-term Treasuries). Signals use moving averages, recent returns, and RSI.
Checks oil’s trend with DBO: if its 50-day average price is above its 200-day, we’re risk-on; if not, sit in SHV (T-bills). If risk-on and oil’s 20-day gain is >~2%, favor fast plays: if NRGU (3x Big Oil) is trending up and hasn’t plunged (> -10% in 30 days), buy the stronger of NRGU or UCO (2x crude) using RSI (a quick score of recent up vs down moves). Otherwise, own the 2 strongest energy names (XOM, CVX, COP, MPC, VLO, DINO, CVE, ENPH, or XLE) by recent gains.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P (Sharpe 2.61 vs 1.83) with far lower drawdowns (~0.3% vs ~7.5%), plus oil-momentum upside and disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.77% | 31.92% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.6 | |
| 21.07% | 23.3% | 6.95% | 7.6% | 2.27 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,107.03Regulatory Fees
$2.25
Total Slippage
$14.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Energy, oil, momentum, trend-following, tactical, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged allowed, stocks and etfs, cash fallback
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Stocks
NRGU
MicroSectors U.S. Big Oil 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks