There Will Be Blood
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tactical energy strategy. Only invests when crude oil trends up. In strong regimes it may concentrate in leveraged oil (NRGU/UCO); otherwise it rotates into the 2 strongest energy names. If oil trends down, it moves to cash (SHV).
1) First, it checks if crude oil is in a long‑term uptrend using an oil fund (DBO). If not, it sits in cash (SHV).
2) If oil is trending up, it looks for recent strength. When strong: if a 3x big‑oil note (NRGU) is also rising—and hasn’t just crashed—it picks the stronger of NRGU or a 2x oil ETF (UCO) using a short‑term “buying vs selling” score (RSI).
3) Otherwise, it holds the 2 strongest energy stocks/ETF.
Out-of-sample, this energy-trend strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe 2.61 vs 1.83; drawdown 0.31% vs 7.49%; Calmar ~53—offering upside with strong downside protection versus the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | -0.2 | 0.04 | -0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.83% | 32.5% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 1.63 | |
| 35.88% | 34.45% | -4.66% | 20.2% | 1.63 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$13,588.08Regulatory Fees
$4.87
Total Slippage
$30.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 5, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Energy, trend following, momentum, tactical rotation, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
MPC
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Stocks
NRGU
MicroSectors U.S. Big Oil 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks