The Wild West of Trading Oil 2.0
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily long/short oil system with a safety brake, macro risk-on/off checks, and oil-specific trend tests. It buys USO/USL when conditions are healthy, shorts oil via SCO when they’re not, or parks in a diversified basket when signals are mixed.
It’s a daily, rules-based oil trader.
- First, a safety brake checks if markets are panicky or overheated using a simple “is price stretched” gauge (RSI). If so, it parks in Treasuries (IEF/TLT).
- Next, it decides risk‑on or risk‑off by comparing broad stocks vs low‑vol stocks, cyclicals vs defensives, and dollar/yen.
- If risk‑on and oil’s trend is healthy, it buys oil (USO/USL—oil ETFs). If risk‑off/strong USD, it shorts oil (SCO—an ETF that rises when oil falls).
- If signals disagree, it holds a diversified mix (gold, Treasuries, tech, commodities, convertibles).
Oil-focused, risk-managed overlay to diversify a stock portfolio. Out-of-sample results show the strategy currently trails the S&P with higher drawdowns, so use as a tactical sleeve for diversification and regime-shift hedges—not as core exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | -0.24 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 496.03% | 14.44% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.88 | |
| 2,246,258.25% | 113.21% | -2.87% | 15.17% | 2.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$224,635,824.88Regulatory Fees
$495,081.64
Total Slippage
$4,674,271.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Long/short oil, macro regime filter, relative strength, rsi safety brake, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BNO
United States Brent Oil Fund, LP
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
Stocks