The Wild West of Trading Oil 2.0
Today’s Change (Oct 10, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily long/short oil system with a safety brake, macro risk-on/off checks, and oil-specific trend tests. It buys USO/USL when conditions are healthy, shorts oil via SCO when they’re not, or parks in a diversified basket when signals are mixed.
It’s a daily, rules-based oil trader.
- First, a safety brake checks if markets are panicky or overheated using a simple “is price stretched” gauge (RSI). If so, it parks in Treasuries (IEF/TLT).
- Next, it decides risk‑on or risk‑off by comparing broad stocks vs low‑vol stocks, cyclicals vs defensives, and dollar/yen.
- If risk‑on and oil’s trend is healthy, it buys oil (USO/USL—oil ETFs). If risk‑off/strong USD, it shorts oil (SCO—an ETF that rises when oil falls).
- If signals disagree, it holds a diversified mix (gold, Treasuries, tech, commodities, convertibles).
Macro-aware oil strategy diversifies away from the S&P with a safety brake and risk filters—potential hedge in regime shifts. Caution: out-of-sample results show higher drawdowns and negative returns; best as a satellite, not core.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | -0.24 | 0.02 | -0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 497.06% | 14.45% | 2.37% | 3.83% | 0.88 | |
| 2,272,567.34% | 113.3% | -3.48% | 16.67% | 2.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$227,266,733.68Regulatory Fees
$499,136.32
Total Slippage
$4,713,204.09
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Long/short oil, macro regime filter, relative strength, rsi safety brake, daily rebalanced