The Weekly Grind [Experimental] - what drawdowns okih2u mod?
Today’s Change (Jan 15, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A four-sleeve portfolio: a stable COST/UNH core, a rotating trio of big‑tech movers, a 4‑asset defensive/sector hedge, and a trend‑driven macro pair (stocks/bonds/dollar/commodities), with sizing to temper risk and a loose rebalance band.
The portfolio has four sleeves:
1) A steady core: 50% Costco (COST) and 50% UnitedHealth (UNH).
2) Tech movers: picks 3 of AAPL, MSFT, AVGO, TSLA, GOOGL that have moved the most over ~1 month; equal-weight them.
3) Defensive/hedge: picks the 4 best performers over ~7 months from Treasuries, gold, commodities, a market‑neutral fund (BTAL), and a few sectors (energy, staples, healthcare, miners); equal‑weight them.
4) Adaptive macro: chooses 2 of 4—UPRO (leveraged S&P 500), TMF (leveraged long Treasuries), UUP (US dollar), DBC (commodities)—based on ~6‑month trends, then sizes them to reduce risk.
No fixed rebalance date; a tolerance band lets weights drift before adjusting.
Out-of-sample: ~14.6% annualized return, max drawdown 14.1%, Calmar ~1.03, beta ~0.75. Four sleeves blend defensive core, tech movers, hedge, and adaptive macro for diversified risk and downside protection versus SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.8 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534.93% | 14.43% | 1.71% | 4.56% | 0.89 | |
| 1,433.1% | 22.02% | 4.8% | 7.08% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$153,309.88Regulatory Fees
$153.30
Total Slippage
$914.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 9%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, sector rotation, trend-following, defensive hedging, inverse-vol sizing, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks