The vol-y wolly
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A regime‑switching plan: if markets are calm and bonds lead, it goes all‑in on 2× Nasdaq; if calm but bonds lag, it runs a VIX pair trade; when choppy, it either buys a Nasdaq dip or holds a defensive mix of Treasuries, stocks, gold, and staples.
It rotates among four states based on market calm and trends:
- Calm + bonds > cash → 100% QLD (2× Nasdaq‑100).
- Calm + bonds ≤ cash → ~55% SVXY (wins if near‑term volatility stays low) + ~45% VIXM (hedge on later spikes).
- Not calm + Nasdaq oversold (RSI: a sold‑off gauge; <~30) → 100% QLD.
- Not calm + not oversold → equal SHY (short‑term Treasuries), SPY (US stocks), BTAL (low‑risk vs high‑risk), GLD (gold), XLP (consumer staples).
Out-of-sample: higher growth potential (about 30.5% annually vs SPY’s 22.4%), driven by regime switching, Nasdaq leverage in calm markets, and volatility hedges. Bigger upside with disciplined risk; drawdowns can be larger in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 1.09 | 0.38 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 5,668.21% | 32.57% | -0.51% | -1.7% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$576,820.65Regulatory Fees
$1,445.83
Total Slippage
$8,450.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, volatility targeting, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility etps, defensive mix
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks