The vol-y wolly
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, volatility-aware plan: in calm times it reaches for growth (leveraged Nasdaq) or a controlled short‑vol mix; in rough times it either buys a dip in Nasdaq or shifts to a diversified, defensive 5‑ETF basket.
Step 1: Is the S&P 500 calm lately? If yes: if core bonds (BND) beat T‑bills (BIL) over ~3 months, buy QLD (2x Nasdaq‑100). If not, hold 55% SVXY (short volatility) + 45% VIXM (long volatility). If markets are jumpy: if the Nasdaq (QQQ) is very “oversold,” still buy QLD for a rebound; otherwise split evenly: SHY (short Treasuries), SPY (S&P 500), BTAL (defensive long/short), GLD (gold), XLP (consumer staples).
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~30.5% annualized return vs SPY's ~22.4%, with adaptive growth/defense tilts and volatility hedges. Higher upside, disciplined risk (Calmar ~1.11), though drawdowns can be larger in turbulence.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 1.1 | 0.38 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 5,601.87% | 32.37% | 1.63% | 0.4% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$570,186.64Regulatory Fees
$1,463.10
Total Slippage
$8,564.13
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, volatility-aware, momentum filter, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, vix/volatility etfs, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks