The vol-y wolly 3 check
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Blends two calm/turbulence checks with a Nasdaq “heat” gauge. In calm regimes it goes risk‑on (2× Nasdaq) or runs a hedged short‑vol carry; in stress it hedges or holds a defensive basket. The two checks are averaged 50/50.
It runs two similar rule-sets and splits money 50/50. It checks: (1) how “hot/cold” Nasdaq is (RSI = a speedometer of recent moves: high=overheated, low=washed‑out) and (2) how calm markets are (recent volatility). If calm and bonds beat T‑bills, it buys 2× Nasdaq. If overheated, it hedges with volatility funds. If not calm and not washed‑out, it holds a defensive mix (Treasuries, S&P 500, staples, gold, anti‑beta).
Out-of-sample edge: 27.16% annualized return, 17.71% max drawdown, Calmar 1.53, and positive alpha. Superior risk-adjusted upside vs SPY (22.36% return, 18.76% drawdown) thanks to regime-switching and hedging.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.77 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 22,336.36% | 45.24% | 0.51% | 3.11% | 1.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,243,635.78Regulatory Fees
$6,377.98
Total Slippage
$39,101.88
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, volatility, momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, vix hedging, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks