The vol-y wolly 3 check
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Blends two calm/turbulence checks with a Nasdaq “heat” gauge. In calm regimes it goes risk‑on (2× Nasdaq) or runs a hedged short‑vol carry; in stress it hedges or holds a defensive basket. The two checks are averaged 50/50.
It runs two similar rule-sets and splits money 50/50. It checks: (1) how “hot/cold” Nasdaq is (RSI = a speedometer of recent moves: high=overheated, low=washed‑out) and (2) how calm markets are (recent volatility). If calm and bonds beat T‑bills, it buys 2× Nasdaq. If overheated, it hedges with volatility funds. If not calm and not washed‑out, it holds a defensive mix (Treasuries, S&P 500, staples, gold, anti‑beta).
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher upside with tighter risk: ~27% annualized vs ~22% for the S&P 500; drawdown ~17.7% vs ~18.8%; Calmar ~1.53. Adaptive hedges plus Nasdaq leverage seek stronger, smoother growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.77 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 22,221.44% | 45.52% | 0.52% | 0.94% | 1.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,232,143.69Regulatory Fees
$6,169.18
Total Slippage
$37,793.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, volatility, momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, vix hedging, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks