The Sauce - RTFM | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Times crypto vs. stocks by the Bitcoin 4‑year cycle. In stocks, an S&P 500 “speedometer” decides: hedge when overheated, buy 3x bulls after washouts, or hold the strongest big names (e.g., AAPL, MSFT, NVDA). High risk, momentum‑driven.
First, decide where we are in Bitcoin’s 4‑year cycle. Years 1–3: put ~80% in a crypto‑proxy basket (MSTR, COIN, miners + some cash/hedge) and ~20% in a stock sleeve. Year 4: flip to ~80% stock sleeve, ~20% crypto.
The stock sleeve checks an S&P 500 “speedometer” (14‑day RSI). If very hot (>77): park in a fear‑hedge (VIXM). If very washed out (<30): buy the 2 strongest 3x bull ETFs (TECL/TNA/SPXL). Otherwise: own the 3 strongest big‑name stocks by recent strength.
Out-of-sample, this timing strategy delivers far higher upside and strong risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: annualized return 373.95% vs 83.51%, Calmar 25.93, with volatility hedges and momentum rotation to manage drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 2 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.54% | 13.61% | 0.09% | 13.88% | 0.84 | |
| 290.89% | 30.14% | -2.37% | 24.74% | 0.74 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$39,088.67Regulatory Fees
$5.14
Total Slippage
$34.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Crypto cycle timing, momentum rotation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, tech/defense tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks