The Sauce - RTFM | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two‑part portfolio that flips 80/20 between Bitcoin‑exposed stocks and a tactical momentum stock picker based on Bitcoin’s 4‑year cycle, with simple market “speedometer” rules to hedge when too hot and press when too cold.
It flips the mix based on Bitcoin’s 4‑year cycle. In years 1–3 after a halving, ~80% goes to Bitcoin‑sensitive stocks (MicroStrategy, Coinbase, BTC miners) and ~20% to a tactical stock sleeve. In year 4, it’s the reverse. The tactical sleeve holds the 3 strongest large U.S. stocks; if the S&P 500 looks very hot (by a simple price “speedometer”), it hedges with a volatility fund; if very cold, it adds a small dose of 3× bull ETFs.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~62% vs SPY ~21%; Calmar ~1.55 signals strong risk-adjusted upside, despite higher drawdowns (~40% vs ~19%). A Bitcoin-cycle plus momentum system blends growth with hedges to outperform SPY across regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 1.99 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.49% | 11.87% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.74 | |
| 225.2% | 27.13% | 8.91% | 1.47% | 0.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,520.13Regulatory Fees
$4.62
Total Slippage
$27.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin cycle timing, momentum, tactical equity, large-cap tech/defense, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks