The Sauce - RTFM | Deez | 8JUL2023
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based portfolio that sizes crypto exposure by Bitcoin’s 4‑year cycle and runs an equity sleeve that hedges when markets are overheated, buys 3× bull ETFs in deep selloffs, and otherwise holds the strongest large caps.
It times the 4‑year Bitcoin cycle. Years 1–3: 80% in a Bitcoin‑stock basket (MSTR, COIN, miners, plus some BIL for cash) and 20% in a stock‑momentum sleeve. Year 4: 80% momentum, 20% Bitcoin basket.
The momentum sleeve uses SPY’s RSI (a 0–100 “heat meter”). If very hot (>77), hedge with VIXM (tends to rise when stocks fall). If very cold (<30), buy the best 2 of TECL/TNA/SPXL (3× bull funds). Otherwise, hold the 3 strongest big U.S. stocks (e.g., MSFT, AAPL, NVDA).
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers far higher upside than the S&P 500 (≈62% annualized vs ~21%), with RSI hedges, 3× bulls in dips, and a Bitcoin-cycle tilt. Expect higher drawdowns (~40%), but strong risk-adjusted returns (Calmar ~1.55).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 1.99 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.21% | 12.31% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.77 | |
| 216.21% | 26.6% | 15.68% | -7.92% | 0.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$31,621.18Regulatory Fees
$4.62
Total Slippage
$27.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bitcoin cycle timing, rsi momentum, large-cap picks, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, crypto stocks
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd. Common Stock
Stocks
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
Stocks