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The Probabilities Are In Your Favor
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily, all‑in strategy that rotates among cash (SHV), Tesla (TSLA), leveraged tech bull (TECL), or short Nasdaq (PSQ) using simple “heat” (RSI) and trend checks to dodge overheated markets, buy deep dips, or short weakness.
NutHow it works
Each day: If QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) or SPY (S&P 500) look overheated by RSI (>80; a 0–100 “heat” of recent moves), park in SHV (T‑bills/cash). Else if TQQQ’s RSI <31, buy TECL (3× tech). Else if IEF (7–10y Treasuries) looks stronger than PSQ (−1× short QQQ), trade TSLA: buy if its 8‑day EMA > 20‑day avg or if its RSI <24; otherwise cash. If not, and TSLA is weak, buy PSQ; else cash.
CheckmarkValue prop
Disciplined, regime-aware strategy that shifts among cash, TSLA, TECL, and PSQ to dodge overheated markets and buy dips. Out-of-sample: ~14% annualized with ~0.50 Sharpe and diversified tech exposure—complementary, not a direct S&P clone.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.540.720.080.28
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
694.49%14.2%-1.77%0.2%0.87
567,975.65%73.98%-2.45%2.39%1.47
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$56,807,564.67
Regulatory Fees
$260,614.42
Total Slippage
$1,853,919.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, trend-following, market timing, tech sector, leveraged etfs, inverse etf, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently allocated toPSQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" has returned 20.20%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is 48.88%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.