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The Probabilities Are In Your Favor
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

QQQ=big tech, SPY=S&P 500, TQQQ=3× Nasdaq, TECL=3× tech, IEF=7–10y Treasuries, PSQ=short Nasdaq, SHV=T‑bills, TSLA=Tesla. Daily rotates among SHV, TECL, TSLA, or PSQ using a 0–100 “heat” score (RSI: high=hot, low=cold) and short‑term trends.
NutHow it works
Rules (checked daily): 1) If QQQ or SPY are very hot (RSI>80) → park in SHV (cash‑like). 2) Else if TQQQ is very cold (RSI<31) → buy TECL (3× tech) for a bounce. 3) Else compare IEF vs PSQ “heat”: - If IEF wins → TSLA if 8‑EMA>20‑MA or RSI<24; else SHV. - If PSQ wins → PSQ if TSLA 8‑EMA<10‑MA; else SHV.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: 14.14% annualized return with ~0.50 Sharpe and a tactical risk-off/cash hedge. Diversifies SPY with upside when tech leads, but carries higher drawdown risk in extreme regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.540.730.080.28
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
706.95%14.34%0.54%-0.34%0.87
576,066.52%74.33%10.73%0.68%1.47
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$57,616,652.44
Regulatory Fees
$257,386.80
Total Slippage
$1,830,821.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend + mean‑reversion, tech‑focused, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently allocated toPSQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" has returned 21.35%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is 48.88%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.