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The Probabilities Are In Your Favor
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily, rule‑based, tech‑tilted. It hides in T‑bills when indexes are overheated, buys 3× tech on deep dips, and otherwise toggles between Tesla, cash, or shorting Nasdaq based on whether Treasuries or an inverse‑Nasdaq fund is stronger.
NutHow it works
If big US indexes look unusually hot, it parks in a cash‑like T‑bill fund. If not, and a 3× Nasdaq gauge shows a sharp washout, it buys a 3× tech fund. Otherwise it compares Treasuries to an inverse‑Nasdaq fund: when Treasuries are stronger, it holds Tesla if its short‑term trend is up or it’s very washed‑out; when the inverse fund is stronger, it shorts Nasdaq if Tesla looks weak. Else it stays in T‑bills. Rebalanced daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample annualized return ~23.9% vs ~21.7% for the S&P 500, driven by a disciplined, tech-tilted, rule-based rotation. It hides in cash when overheated and pursues deep-dip tech bets, aiming higher upside with transparent daily rebalancing.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged & inverse etfs, tech-focused, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is currently allocated toTSLA. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" has returned 23.94%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor" is 48.88%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "The Probabilities Are In Your Favor", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, crypto, and options.