The Not Boring: Rising Rates with Vol Switch
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical, Fed‑friendly risk‑parity strategy that watches for short‑term stress in tech or long US Treasuries to switch between a leveraged tech/financials/bonds mix and a more defensive tilt toward gold and the US dollar.
It asks two questions: Have tech stocks (QQQ) or long‑term US Treasuries (TMF) fallen sharply lately? If yes, it shifts toward defensive assets (gold and the US dollar) and dials down the jumpier positions. If both look calm, it runs a balanced mix of 3x funds for tech, financials, and long bonds, giving bigger weights to the steadier ones (based on recent behavior).
Out-of-sample edge: 18.1% annualized return, 19.6% max drawdown, Sharpe 0.88, Calmar 0.92, beta 0.71—clear, better risk-adjusted performance than the S&P 500. A Fed-friendly, tactical risk-parity strategy that captures tech upside while defending on stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.7 | 0.36 | 0.6 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 659.15% | 13.64% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.83 | |
| 2,608.77% | 23.14% | 0.69% | -6.63% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$270,877.49Regulatory Fees
$774.22
Total Slippage
$4,357.31
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 13, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk parity, volatility targeting, leveraged etfs, rising rates, macro hedged
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks