The natty gas volatility monster
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, volatility‑aware natural‑gas strategy. It splits the market into volatility regimes, checks trend and “overbought/oversold,” goes long via UNL or short via KOLD, and when signals conflict, rotates into gold, Treasuries, tech, and currency hedges.
It first measures how “jumpy” natural gas is (using UNL). Then it checks if that jumpiness is rising or fading. With two simple tools—trend (short vs long average price) and a hot/cold gauge (RSI)—it either buys UNL (12‑month nat gas), shorts nat gas via KOLD (−2x), or, when unclear, holds hedges like GLD (gold), TLT/TMF (Treasuries), QQQ (big tech), and YCS (short yen). It also compares UNG (near‑term) vs UNL to see if near‑term strength is leading. Rebalances daily.
Volatility-aware, regime-driven strategy that diversifies beyond stocks. In volatile markets it hedges with gold, Treasuries, and other assets to help smooth drawdowns and offer resilience when energy regimes shift—a ballast to S&P 500 portfolio.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613.53% | 14.65% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 1,785,621.15% | 97.61% | 1.19% | 41.28% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$178,572,114.88Regulatory Fees
$452,492.07
Total Slippage
$3,229,242.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Natural gas, volatility-regime, trend + mean reversion, etf rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs, multi-asset hedging, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
ITA
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
Stocks
ITB
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
Stocks
KOLD
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks