The Holy Grail with a spice of KMLM (trend riding)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, multi-asset trend-following strategy using leveraged tech/semiconductor ETFs, hedges, volatility exposure, and a diversified futures-style sleeve to ride trends and protect against risk.
In plain terms, the strategy watches several market signals to decide what to own. It looks for assets that are showing a clear upward trend (using short-term momentum like a 10-day look at price changes) and avoids or hedges when the signals suggest danger (for example, when the market feels overheated or volatility is rising). It uses a lawnmower of rules like: if tech-driven bets (like TQQQ) look strong on a momentum read, it may buy or stay exposed; if conditions look risky (RSI gets high, or other signals flip), it may reduce exposure or switch to hedges (SQQQ for down moves, UVXY for volatility spikes). It also checks longer-term trends with broader market measures (SPY) and adds a managed-futures style element (KMLM) to catch persistent trends across assets. The target is to keep positions in a small set of ETFs with roughly equal cash weight, adjust only when the rule-set calls for it (not on a fixed calendar), and maintain a small corridor of allowable drift so risk stays controlled. The result is a diversified, trend-forward sleeve that aims to ride major uptrends while hedging against sharp declines.
Out-of-sample, this trend strategy targets tech rallies with ~42% annualized return vs SPY ~17% and Calmar ~1.47, signaling strong risk-adjusted upside. It uses hedges/diversification to ride trends; note drawdowns may be higher (~29%) than SPY.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, trend-following, momentum, leveraged etfs, hedging, diversification
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks