The Holy Grail with 20D KMLM
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule-based swing system that switches among leveraged tech funds, inverse funds, bonds, volatility, and a managed‑futures ETF. It keys off Nasdaq’s 200‑day trend, short‑term heat (RSI), and KMLM’s 20‑day trend to flip between offense and defense.
It uses two gauges: a heat score (RSI, 0–100; high = hot, low = washed out) and trend lines (20/200‑day moving averages). If a 3x Nasdaq fund (TQQQ) is in a long‑term uptrend, it goes risk‑on: if too hot, hedge with volatility (UVXY); otherwise hold TQQQ or short Nasdaq (PSQ) based on a managed‑futures fund (KMLM: trends in commodities/rates/FX). If trend is down, buy washed‑out 3x tech (TECL) or 3x semis (SOXL); else pick short Nasdaq (SQQQ) or short‑term bonds (BSV). Fallback: 3x S&P 500 (UPRO) or KMLM.
Out-of-sample edge: ~59% annualized return vs ~17% for S&P; Sharpe ~1.12 vs ~1.00; Calmar ~2.09. Strong upside with trend-following hedges and diversified risk, offering a tech-heavy growth tilt with disciplined risk management.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, tech/nasdaq focus, managed futures, volatility hedge, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks