The Holy Grail with 20D KMLM V2 (Added Feavers stuff)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-driven rotation. It checks the Nasdaq’s long trend, then uses short-term “stretched” moves and KMLM’s 20‑day trend to switch among tech bulls, inverse tech, volatility hedges, managed futures, short-term bonds, or a steady LLY/NVO/COST/GE basket.
1) Regime: Is the tech‑heavy market rising? It checks TQQQ vs its 200‑day average.
2) If rising and short‑term moves look extreme, buy UVXY (volatility hedge). Otherwise use a 20‑day trend in KMLM (managed‑futures) and a bond‑vs‑bear check to pick: TQQQ, BTAL (defensive), a low‑vol mix of LLY/NVO/COST/GE, or QID (short Nasdaq).
3) If falling, try quick rebounds (TECL/SOXL). If none, rotate among QID/SQQQ, BSV, SVXY, or KMLM/the stock mix.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.53 vs 0.99; Calmar 3.18; alpha +0.47. Annualized return ~96% vs SPY ~17%. Disciplined, rules-based rotation across tech, hedges, futures, and defensives offers higher upside with risk controls—drawdowns can be larger.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 23, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend-following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, managed futures, defensive equities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
GE
GE Aerospace
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks
NVO
Novo-Nordisk A/S
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks